How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sagrada Esperança, at 45.8%. The other outcomes represent 54.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.8% · Draw: 24.5% · Away win: 29.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sagrada Esperança 1584; Kabuscorp 1638. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Girabola · Wednesday, Oct 7 2026
· 14:30
Sagrada Esperança
Elo 1584
1
-
0
Kabuscorp
Elo 1638
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-54
H2H (4)
0H
1D
3A
Elo rating comparison
Sagrada Esperança1584
Kabuscorp1638
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Sagrada Esperança
1Draws
3Kabuscorp
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
46%
Draw
24%
Away
30%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
36%
Draw
43%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
HT Over 1.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Over 1.5 Goals
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.