How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ahal, at 47.7%. The other outcomes represent 52.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 47.7% · Draw: 22.8% · Away win: 29.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ahal 1735; Altyn Asyr 1717. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ýokary Liga · Wednesday, Oct 7 2026
· 11:00
Ahal
Elo 1735
0
-
2
Altyn Asyr
Elo 1717
FT
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+18
H2H (4)
0H
4D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Ahal1735
Altyn Asyr1717
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Ahal
4Draws
0Altyn Asyr
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
48%
Draw
23%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
41%
Draw
38%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.