How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sintrense, at 46.6%. The other outcomes represent 53.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 25.8% · Draw: 27.6% · Away win: 46.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Caldas 1534; Sintrense 1615. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #661 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Taça de Portugal · Sunday, Aug 30 2026
· 16:00
Caldas
Elo 1534
1
-
3
Sintrense
Elo 1615
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
-81
Elo rating comparison
Caldas1534
Sintrense1615
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Caldas
—Draws
—Sintrense
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
26%
@ 2.04
Draw
28%
@ 3.18
Away
47%
@ 3.39
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
@ 1.25
No
42%
Double Chance X2
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
@ 1.65
No
24%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
21%
@ 2.69
Draw
43%
@ 2.03
Away
36%
@ 4.07
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
@ 1.42
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
@ 1.33
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Win to Nil
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.