How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Fiorentina, at 47.9%. The other outcomes represent 52.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 47.9% · Draw: 31.1% · Away win: 21%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Fiorentina 1949; Torino 1874. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie A · Saturday, Sep 5 2026
· 13:00
Fiorentina
Elo 1949
1
-
2
Torino
Elo 1874
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W
4D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
+76
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Fiorentina1949
Torino1874
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Fiorentina
2Draws
0Torino
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
48%
@ 1.88
Draw
31%
@ 3.29
Away
21%
@ 4.45
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
@ 1.94
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
@ 1.20
No
26%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
@ 1.91
No
48%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
34%
@ 2.48
Draw
44%
@ 2.05
Away
21%
@ 4.92
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
@ 1.46
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
@ 1.37
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Recent results
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Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.