How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bologna, at 44.0%. The other outcomes represent 56.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 44% · Draw: 31.5% · Away win: 24.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bologna 1915; Sassuolo 1891. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie A · Sunday, Sep 6 2026
· 16:00
Bologna
Elo 1915
2
-
2
Sassuolo
Elo 1891
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+24
H2H (3)
2H
1D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Bologna1915
Sassuolo1891
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Bologna
1Draws
0Sassuolo
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
44%
@ 1.95
Draw
32%
@ 3.39
Away
24%
@ 3.96
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
@ 1.23
No
33%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
@ 1.85
No
35%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
32%
@ 2.51
Draw
44%
@ 2.12
Away
24%
@ 4.41
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
@ 1.40
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
@ 1.31
No
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Win to Nil
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Recent results
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Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.