How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Frosinone, at 35.0%. The other outcomes represent 65.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35% · Draw: 30.9% · Away win: 34.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Frosinone 1903; Venezia 1923. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie A · Sunday, Sep 6 2026
· 13:00
Frosinone
Elo 1903
3
-
2
Venezia
Elo 1923
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-20
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Frosinone1903
Venezia1923
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Frosinone
0Draws
2Venezia
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
35% conf.
CORRECT
Home
35%
@ 2.77
Draw
31%
@ 3.29
Away
34%
@ 2.52
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
@ 1.72
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
@ 1.51
No
27%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
@ 1.42
No
41%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
33%
@ 3.33
Draw
41%
@ 2.12
Away
26%
@ 3.09
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
@ 1.39
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.29
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.