How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Doncaster, at 64.9%. The other outcomes represent 35.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 64.9% · Draw: 19.2% · Away win: 15.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Doncaster 1713; Liverpool U21 1574. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
EFL Trophy · Tuesday, Oct 6 2026
· 18:00
Doncaster
Elo 1713
1
-
0
Liverpool U21
Elo 1574
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+139
Elo rating comparison
Doncaster1713
Liverpool U211574
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Doncaster
—Draws
—Liverpool U21
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
65% conf.
CORRECT
Home
65%
Draw
19%
Away
16%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
CORRECT
Home
49%
Draw
37%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
WRONG
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.