How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Millwall, at 37.8%. The other outcomes represent 62.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.8% · Draw: 29.8% · Away win: 32.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Millwall 1882; Wrexham 1833. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Championship · Wednesday, Sep 2 2026
· 18:45
Millwall
Elo 1882
0
-
3
Wrexham
Elo 1833
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+49
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Millwall1882
Wrexham1833
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Millwall
0Draws
0Wrexham
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
38%
@ 2.26
Draw
30%
@ 3.28
Away
32%
@ 3.12
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
@ 1.71
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
@ 1.34
No
26%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
@ 1.60
No
46%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
33%
@ 2.82
Draw
44%
@ 2.13
Away
23%
@ 3.67
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
@ 1.39
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
@ 1.29
No
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.