How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lazio, at 39.2%. The other outcomes represent 60.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 31.9% · Draw: 29% · Away win: 39.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Udinese 1945; Lazio 2011. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie A · Monday, Sep 7 2026
· 18:45
Udinese
Elo 1945
1
-
2
Lazio
Elo 2011
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-66
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Udinese1945
Lazio2011
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Udinese
2Draws
0Lazio
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
32%
@ 2.85
Draw
29%
@ 3.05
Away
39%
@ 2.60
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
@ 1.48
No
34%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
@ 1.41
No
36%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
24%
@ 3.53
Draw
44%
@ 1.96
Away
32%
@ 3.30
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
68%
@ 1.50
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
@ 1.44
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 3.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.