How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Feirense, at 36.5%. The other outcomes represent 63.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 36.5% · Draw: 29.9% · Away win: 33.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Feirense 1604; Sporting CP B 1641. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Segunda Liga · Saturday, Sep 5 2026
· 14:30
Feirense
Elo 1604
1
-
3
Sporting CP B
Elo 1641
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-36
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Feirense1604
Sporting CP B1641
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Feirense
0Draws
2Sporting CP B
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
@ 2.62
Draw
30%
@ 3.06
Away
34%
@ 2.60
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
@ 1.43
No
36%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
@ 1.43
No
32%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
WRONG
Home
25%
@ 3.32
Draw
46%
@ 1.97
Away
29%
@ 3.33
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
@ 1.47
No
40%
HT Over 1.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Over 1.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
@ 1.39
No
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 3.5 Goals
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Win to Nil
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Recent results
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.