How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Norwich, at 39.0%. The other outcomes represent 61.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 32.7% · Draw: 28.2% · Away win: 39%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sheffield Utd 1884; Norwich 1850. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Championship · Saturday, Sep 5 2026
· 14:00
Sheffield Utd
Elo 1884
1
-
3
Norwich
Elo 1850
FT
HT 1-2
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+34
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Sheffield Utd1884
Norwich1850
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Sheffield Utd
0Draws
2Norwich
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
33%
@ 2.57
Draw
28%
@ 3.40
Away
39%
@ 2.60
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
@ 1.60
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
@ 1.45
No
38%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
@ 1.48
No
34%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
31%
@ 3.07
Draw
40%
@ 2.20
Away
29%
@ 3.13
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
@ 1.33
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
@ 1.23
No
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
@ 1.78
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.