How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Torreense, at 40.9%. The other outcomes represent 59.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 25.4% · Draw: 33.8% · Away win: 40.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Benfica B 1708; Torreense 1730. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Segunda Liga · Saturday, Sep 5 2026
· 14:30
Benfica B
Elo 1708
0
-
2
Torreense
Elo 1730
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-22
H2H (6)
0H
4D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Benfica B1708
Torreense1730
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Benfica B
4Draws
2Torreense
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
25%
@ 2.66
Draw
34%
@ 3.21
Away
41%
@ 2.47
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
@ 1.66
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
@ 1.47
No
30%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
@ 1.41
No
37%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
28%
@ 3.24
Draw
48%
@ 2.12
Away
24%
@ 3.05
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
@ 1.37
No
35%
HT Over 1.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Over 1.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
@ 1.27
No
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.