How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is the draw, at 36.2%. The other outcomes represent 63.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.9% · Draw: 36.2% · Away win: 27.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Alaves 1954; Osasuna 1938. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 5–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
La Liga · Sunday, Sep 6 2026
· 16:30
Alaves
Elo 1954
5
-
2
Osasuna
Elo 1938
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+17
H2H (3)
0H
2D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Alaves1954
Osasuna1938
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Alaves
2Draws
1Osasuna
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
36% conf.
WRONG
Home
36%
@ 2.28
Draw
36%
@ 3.07
Away
28%
@ 3.47
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
@ 1.30
No
30%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
@ 1.63
No
47%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
33%
@ 2.94
Draw
43%
@ 1.94
Away
24%
@ 4.18
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
@ 1.54
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.48
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 3.5 Goals
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.