How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Espanyol, at 38.9%. The other outcomes represent 61.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38.9% · Draw: 33.9% · Away win: 27.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Espanyol 1900; Sevilla 1923. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
La Liga · Sunday, Sep 6 2026
· 19:00
Espanyol
Elo 1900
1
-
1
Sevilla
Elo 1923
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-23
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Espanyol1900
Sevilla1923
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Espanyol
0Draws
2Sevilla
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
@ 2.29
Draw
34%
@ 3.15
Away
27%
@ 3.36
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
@ 1.98
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
@ 1.31
No
35%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
@ 1.62
No
35%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
29%
@ 2.96
Draw
43%
@ 1.97
Away
28%
@ 3.97
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
@ 1.50
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
@ 1.45
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 3.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Win to Nil
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.