How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Getafe, at 39.0%. The other outcomes represent 61.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39% · Draw: 31.3% · Away win: 29.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Getafe 1913; Celta Vigo 1984. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
La Liga · Monday, Sep 7 2026
· 17:00
Getafe
Elo 1913
1
-
1
Celta Vigo
Elo 1984
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Elo Advantage
-71
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Getafe1913
Celta Vigo1984
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Getafe
2Draws
0Celta Vigo
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
@ 2.48
Draw
31%
@ 2.88
Away
30%
@ 3.27
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Away Clean Sheet
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
@ 1.33
No
37%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
@ 1.52
No
37%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
WRONG
Home
25%
@ 3.28
Draw
49%
@ 1.84
Away
25%
@ 4.08
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
@ 1.64
No
37%
HT Over 1.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Over 1.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
@ 1.65
No
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 3.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Win to Nil
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Recent results
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Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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