How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FSV Mainz 05, at 47.5%. The other outcomes represent 52.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 47.5% · Draw: 21.6% · Away win: 30.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FSV Mainz 05 2069; Eintracht Frankfurt 2033. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Bundesliga · Saturday, Sep 12 2026
· 13:30
FSV Mainz 05
Elo 2069
1
-
3
Eintracht Frankfurt
Elo 2033
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Elo Advantage
+36
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
FSV Mainz 052069
Eintracht Frankfurt2033
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2FSV Mainz 05
0Draws
0Eintracht Frankfurt
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
48%
@ 2.10
Draw
22%
@ 3.76
Away
31%
@ 3.23
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
@ 1.50
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
68%
@ 1.36
No
32%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
@ 1.74
No
45%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
36%
@ 2.53
Draw
37%
@ 2.42
Away
28%
@ 3.64
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
@ 1.27
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
@ 1.14
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
@ 1.54
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.