How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is West Ham, at 54.4%. The other outcomes represent 45.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 22.8% · Draw: 22.7% · Away win: 54.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bolton 1833; West Ham 1997. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Championship · Tuesday, Sep 8 2026
· 19:00
Bolton
Elo 1833
2
-
3
West Ham
Elo 1997
FT
HT 2-2
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-165
Elo rating comparison
Bolton1833
West Ham1997
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Bolton
—Draws
—West Ham
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
54% conf.
CORRECT
Home
23%
@ 4.92
Draw
23%
@ 4.10
Away
54%
@ 1.60
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
@ 1.62
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Double Chance X2
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
@ 1.17
No
21%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
25%
@ 4.98
Draw
35%
@ 2.43
Away
40%
@ 2.10
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
@ 1.28
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.17
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
@ 1.58
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.