How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Real Madrid, at 55.6%. The other outcomes represent 44.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 55.6% · Draw: 22.6% · Away win: 21.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Real Madrid 2268; Inter 2268. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Champions League · Tuesday, Sep 8 2026
· 19:00
Real Madrid
Elo 2268
2
-
1
Inter
Elo 2268
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-0
Elo rating comparison
Real Madrid2268
Inter2268
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Real Madrid
—Draws
—Inter
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
56% conf.
CORRECT
Home
56%
@ 1.60
Draw
23%
@ 4.29
Away
22%
@ 4.98
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
@ 1.55
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
@ 1.17
No
32%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
@ 2.30
No
44%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
@ 2.08
Draw
37%
@ 2.48
Away
26%
@ 4.79
HT Both Teams Score
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
@ 1.25
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
88%
@ 1.14
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
@ 1.50
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.