How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Hapoel Migdal HaEmek, at 44.4%. The other outcomes represent 55.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 44.4% · Draw: 29.5% · Away win: 26.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1589; Hapoel Beit Shean 1554. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Alef · Monday, Oct 26 2026
· 17:00
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
Elo 1589
2
-
1
Hapoel Beit Shean
Elo 1554
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+35
Elo rating comparison
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek1589
Hapoel Beit Shean1554
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
—Draws
—Hapoel Beit Shean
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
44%
Draw
30%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
34%
Draw
41%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.