How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Barcelona, at 82.2%. The other outcomes represent 17.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 82.2% · Draw: 8.9% · Away win: 8.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Barcelona 2299; Feyenoord 2014. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 5–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Champions League · Wednesday, Sep 9 2026
· 16:45
Barcelona
Elo 2299
5
-
1
Feyenoord
Elo 2014
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
+284
Elo rating comparison
Barcelona2299
Feyenoord2014
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Barcelona
—Draws
—Feyenoord
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
82% conf.
CORRECT
Home
82%
@ 1.11
Draw
9%
@ 10.52
Away
9%
@ 18.77
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
@ 1.76
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
94% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
6%
No
94%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
91%
@ 1.02
No
9%
Double Chance X2
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Half-Time Result
59% conf.
CORRECT
Home
59%
@ 1.37
Draw
29%
@ 3.73
Away
12%
@ 11.19
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
@ 1.12
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
@ 1.68
No
44%
Over 1.5 Goals
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
@ 1.03
No
7%
Over 2.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
@ 1.18
No
23%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
@ 1.52
No
41%
Home Win to Nil
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.