How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Paris Saint Germain, at 86.1%. The other outcomes represent 13.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 86.1% · Draw: 7.7% · Away win: 6.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Paris Saint Germain 2240; Slovan Bratislava 2106. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 6–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Champions League · Wednesday, Sep 9 2026
· 19:00
Paris Saint Germain
Elo 2240
6
-
1
Slovan Bratislava
Elo 2106
FT
HT 3-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+134
Elo rating comparison
Paris Saint Germain2240
Slovan Bratislava2106
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Paris Saint Germain
—Draws
—Slovan Bratislava
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
86% conf.
CORRECT
Home
86%
@ 1.05
Draw
8%
@ 17.58
Away
6%
@ 35.96
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Double Chance 1X
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
88%
@ 1.01
No
12%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Half-Time Result
57% conf.
CORRECT
Home
57%
@ 1.25
Draw
30%
@ 4.41
Away
13%
@ 19.65
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
@ 1.13
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
@ 1.03
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
@ 1.21
No
27%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.