How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sporting CP, at 49.9%. The other outcomes represent 50.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.9% · Draw: 25.3% · Away win: 24.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sporting CP 2209; Galatasaray 2056. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Champions League · Wednesday, Sep 9 2026
· 19:00
Sporting CP
Elo 2209
3
-
1
Galatasaray
Elo 2056
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
+152
Elo rating comparison
Sporting CP2209
Galatasaray2056
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Sporting CP
—Draws
—Galatasaray
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
50%
@ 1.89
Draw
25%
@ 3.76
Away
25%
@ 3.92
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
@ 1.59
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
@ 1.26
No
18%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
WRONG
Home
46%
@ 2.41
Draw
35%
@ 2.32
Away
20%
@ 4.19
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
@ 1.31
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
@ 1.18
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
@ 1.66
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.