How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lyon, at 45.1%. The other outcomes represent 54.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 29.1% · Draw: 25.9% · Away win: 45.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Paris FC 1962; Lyon 2077. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 1 · Saturday, Sep 12 2026
· 18:45
Paris FC
Elo 1962
0
-
0
Lyon
Elo 2077
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-116
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Paris FC1962
Lyon2077
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Paris FC
2Draws
0Lyon
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
29%
@ 2.67
Draw
26%
@ 3.53
Away
45%
@ 2.48
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
@ 1.56
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
@ 1.53
No
33%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
@ 1.46
No
36%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
30%
@ 3.17
Draw
38%
@ 2.26
Away
31%
@ 2.97
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
@ 1.31
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
@ 1.21
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
@ 1.70
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.