How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Monaco, at 50.2%. The other outcomes represent 49.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 26% · Draw: 23.8% · Away win: 50.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Strasbourg 1932; Monaco 2059. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 1 · Saturday, Sep 12 2026
· 15:15
Strasbourg
Elo 1932
1
-
1
Monaco
Elo 2059
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-127
H2H (5)
5H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Strasbourg1932
Monaco2059
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
5Strasbourg
0Draws
0Monaco
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
26%
@ 3.08
Draw
24%
@ 3.73
Away
50%
@ 2.14
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
@ 1.53
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Double Chance 1X
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
@ 1.70
No
42%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
@ 1.36
No
33%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
CORRECT
Home
32%
@ 3.49
Draw
36%
@ 2.33
Away
32%
@ 2.63
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
81%
@ 1.29
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
@ 1.18
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
@ 1.62
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.