How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Auto Esporte, at 54.5%. The other outcomes represent 45.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 54.5% · Draw: 31.6% · Away win: 13.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Auto Esporte 1534; Serrano PB 1384. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Paraibano 2 · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 22:30
Auto Esporte
Elo 1534
vs
Serrano PB
Elo 1384
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
0W
4D
1L
Elo Advantage
+150
Elo rating comparison
Auto Esporte1534
Serrano PB1384
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Auto Esporte
—Draws
—Serrano PB
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
54% conf.
Home
54%
Draw
32%
Away
14%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
Yes
89%
No
11%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
Home
45%
Draw
42%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.