How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Picuiense, at 48.6%. The other outcomes represent 51.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 48.6% · Draw: 24.1% · Away win: 27.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Picuiense 1310; Sport PB 1278. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Paraibano 2 · Thursday, Oct 8 2026
· 18:00
Picuiense
Elo 1310
1
-
3
Sport PB
Elo 1278
AET
FT 90' 1-3
HT 1-2
Predictions evaluated on 90-minute result
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
+32
Elo rating comparison
Picuiense1310
Sport PB1278
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Picuiense
—Draws
—Sport PB
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
WRONG
Home
49%
Draw
24%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
Draw
36%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.