How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bayern München, at 79.8%. The other outcomes represent 20.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 79.8% · Draw: 8.5% · Away win: 11.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bayern München 2441; Bodo/Glimt 2250. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 5–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Champions League · Thursday, Sep 10 2026
· 19:00
Bayern München
Elo 2441
5
-
0
Bodo/Glimt
Elo 2250
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Elo Advantage
+191
Elo rating comparison
Bayern München2441
Bodo/Glimt2250
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Bayern München
—Draws
—Bodo/Glimt
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
80% conf.
CORRECT
Home
80%
@ 1.08
Draw
9%
@ 13.27
Away
12%
@ 24.33
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
@ 1.67
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
7%
No
93%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
@ 1.01
No
15%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Half-Time Result
56% conf.
WRONG
Home
56%
@ 1.27
Draw
27%
@ 4.55
Away
17%
@ 12.64
HT Both Teams Score
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
81%
@ 1.08
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
@ 1.44
No
47%
Over 1.5 Goals
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
90%
@ 1.02
No
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
@ 1.10
No
23%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
@ 1.31
No
45%
Home Win to Nil
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.