How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lens, at 38.6%. The other outcomes represent 61.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 33.3% · Draw: 28% · Away win: 38.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Slavia Praha 2180; Lens 2098. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Champions League · Thursday, Sep 10 2026
· 19:00
Slavia Praha
Elo 2180
2
-
3
Lens
Elo 2098
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+82
Elo rating comparison
Slavia Praha2180
Lens2098
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Slavia Praha
—Draws
—Lens
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
33%
@ 2.63
Draw
28%
@ 3.54
Away
39%
@ 2.58
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
@ 1.50
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
@ 1.50
No
31%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
@ 1.48
No
43%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
33%
@ 3.06
Draw
40%
@ 2.33
Away
28%
@ 3.00
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
@ 1.30
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
@ 1.18
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
@ 1.62
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.