How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Nairobi United, at 45.4%. The other outcomes represent 54.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.4% · Draw: 24.8% · Away win: 29.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Nairobi United 1669; APS Bomet 1675. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
FKF Premier League · Sunday, Oct 25 2026
· 12:00
Nairobi United
Elo 1669
1
-
1
APS Bomet
Elo 1675
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-6
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Nairobi United1669
APS Bomet1675
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Nairobi United
2Draws
0APS Bomet
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
45%
@ 1.98
Draw
25%
@ 2.87
Away
30%
@ 3.65
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Away Clean Sheet
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.20
No
25%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
@ 1.65
No
45%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
33%
@ 2.70
Draw
47%
@ 1.86
Away
21%
@ 4.47
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
@ 1.51
No
41%
HT Over 1.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Over 1.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
@ 1.44
No
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 3.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.