How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ulinzi Stars, at 39.2%. The other outcomes represent 60.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 39.2% · Draw: 30.2% · Away win: 30.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ulinzi Stars 1599; Mara Sugar 1639. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
FKF Premier League · Saturday, Oct 24 2026
· 12:00
Ulinzi Stars
Elo 1599
0
-
0
Mara Sugar
Elo 1639
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-40
Elo rating comparison
Ulinzi Stars1599
Mara Sugar1639
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Ulinzi Stars
—Draws
—Mara Sugar
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
Draw
30%
Away
31%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
30%
Draw
47%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.