How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Olympic Star, at 37.0%. The other outcomes represent 63.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 36.5% · Draw: 26.5% · Away win: 37%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Muzinga 1523; Olympic Star 1613. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue A · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 13:45
Muzinga
Elo 1523
vs
Olympic Star
Elo 1613
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-90
Elo rating comparison
Muzinga1523
Olympic Star1613
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Muzinga
—Draws
—Olympic Star
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
37% conf.
Home
36%
Draw
27%
Away
37%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
Home
30%
Draw
46%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.