How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is West Ham, at 59.9%. The other outcomes represent 40.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 59.9% · Draw: 23.5% · Away win: 16.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: West Ham 1997; Wrexham 1833. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 6–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Championship · Friday, Sep 11 2026
· 19:00
West Ham
Elo 1997
6
-
0
Wrexham
Elo 1833
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
+165
Elo rating comparison
West Ham1997
Wrexham1833
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—West Ham
—Draws
—Wrexham
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
60% conf.
CORRECT
Home
60%
@ 1.54
Draw
24%
@ 4.24
Away
17%
@ 5.59
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
@ 1.68
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
@ 1.14
No
21%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
41%
@ 2.01
Draw
38%
@ 2.42
Away
21%
@ 5.24
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
@ 1.28
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
@ 1.18
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
@ 1.62
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.