How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Osasuna, at 45.1%. The other outcomes represent 54.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.1% · Draw: 35.4% · Away win: 19.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Osasuna 1938; Espanyol 1900. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
La Liga · Saturday, Sep 12 2026
· 14:15
Osasuna
Elo 1938
0
-
2
Espanyol
Elo 1900
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
+38
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Osasuna1938
Espanyol1900
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Osasuna
0Draws
2Espanyol
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
45%
@ 2.21
Draw
35%
@ 3.20
Away
19%
@ 3.52
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
@ 1.29
No
39%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
@ 1.67
No
36%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
30%
@ 2.84
Draw
42%
@ 2.03
Away
28%
@ 4.05
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
@ 1.47
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
@ 1.38
No
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Recent results
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.