How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is VfB Stuttgart, at 43.8%. The other outcomes represent 56.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 34.7% · Draw: 21.5% · Away win: 43.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: 1899 Hoffenheim 2067; VfB Stuttgart 2151. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Bundesliga · Saturday, Sep 12 2026
· 13:30
1899 Hoffenheim
Elo 2067
2
-
1
VfB Stuttgart
Elo 2151
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-84
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
1899 Hoffenheim2067
VfB Stuttgart2151
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
01899 Hoffenheim
2Draws
0VfB Stuttgart
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
35%
@ 2.25
Draw
21%
@ 4.03
Away
44%
@ 2.78
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
@ 1.28
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
@ 1.43
No
41%
Double Chance X2
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
@ 1.62
No
27%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
28%
@ 2.61
Draw
35%
@ 2.65
Away
37%
@ 3.05
HT Both Teams Score
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
@ 1.18
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
@ 1.88
No
48%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
88%
@ 1.07
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
@ 1.30
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Win to Nil
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.