How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is West Brom, at 46.5%. The other outcomes represent 53.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 46.5% · Draw: 26.3% · Away win: 27.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: West Brom 1819; QPR 1830. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Championship · Saturday, Sep 12 2026
· 11:30
West Brom
Elo 1819
1
-
1
QPR
Elo 1830
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-10
H2H (1)
1H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
West Brom1819
QPR1830
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1West Brom
0Draws
0QPR
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
47%
@ 2.13
Draw
26%
@ 3.39
Away
27%
@ 3.36
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
@ 1.65
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
@ 1.30
No
35%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
@ 1.70
No
39%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
33%
@ 2.66
Draw
40%
@ 2.18
Away
27%
@ 3.79
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
@ 1.36
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
@ 1.25
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
@ 1.82
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.