How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Millwall, at 38.2%. The other outcomes represent 61.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 32.9% · Draw: 28.9% · Away win: 38.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Blackburn 1790; Millwall 1882. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Championship · Saturday, Sep 12 2026
· 14:00
Blackburn
Elo 1790
3
-
1
Millwall
Elo 1882
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-92
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Blackburn1790
Millwall1882
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Blackburn
0Draws
0Millwall
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
33%
@ 2.70
Draw
29%
@ 3.29
Away
38%
@ 2.56
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
@ 1.68
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
@ 1.48
No
40%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
72%
@ 1.44
No
28%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
28%
@ 3.22
Draw
45%
@ 2.13
Away
27%
@ 3.12
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
@ 1.38
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Over 1.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
@ 1.28
No
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
@ 1.91
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.