How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is the draw, at 36.6%. The other outcomes represent 63.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 36.5% · Draw: 36.6% · Away win: 26.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Charlton 1777; Portsmouth 1752. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Championship · Saturday, Sep 12 2026
· 14:00
Charlton
Elo 1777
0
-
0
Portsmouth
Elo 1752
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+25
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Charlton1777
Portsmouth1752
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Charlton
0Draws
4Portsmouth
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
37% conf.
CORRECT
Home
37%
@ 2.63
Draw
37%
@ 3.13
Away
27%
@ 2.70
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
@ 1.44
No
42%
Double Chance X2
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
@ 1.45
No
30%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
30%
@ 3.28
Draw
42%
@ 2.03
Away
28%
@ 3.30
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
67%
@ 1.44
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Over 1.5 Goals
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
68%
@ 1.37
No
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Win to Nil
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.