How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Vitória SC, at 47.5%. The other outcomes represent 52.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 23.8% · Draw: 28.7% · Away win: 47.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Academico Viseu 1753; Vitória SC 1885. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primeira Liga · Saturday, Sep 12 2026
· 19:30
Academico Viseu
Elo 1753
2
-
1
Vitória SC
Elo 1885
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-132
Elo rating comparison
Academico Viseu1753
Vitória SC1885
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Academico Viseu
—Draws
—Vitória SC
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
24%
@ 3.71
Draw
29%
@ 3.29
Away
48%
@ 2.04
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
@ 1.75
No
39%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
72%
@ 1.25
No
28%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
26%
@ 4.22
Draw
40%
@ 2.09
Away
34%
@ 2.61
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
@ 1.42
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
@ 1.34
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Recent results
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Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.