How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Flambeau du Centre, at 42.0%. The other outcomes represent 58.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.6% · Draw: 22.4% · Away win: 42%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bumamuru 1630; Flambeau du Centre 1715. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue A · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 13:00
Bumamuru
Elo 1630
vs
Flambeau du Centre
Elo 1715
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
-85
H2H (3)
1H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Bumamuru1630
Flambeau du Centre1715
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Bumamuru
2Draws
0Flambeau du Centre
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
Home
36%
Draw
22%
Away
42%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
29%
Draw
42%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.