How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Academica, at 35.1%. The other outcomes represent 64.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.1% · Draw: 32.8% · Away win: 32.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Academica 1758; Benfica B 1708. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–3. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Segunda Liga · Friday, Sep 11 2026
· 19:45
Academica
Elo 1758
0
-
3
Benfica B
Elo 1708
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+51
Elo rating comparison
Academica1758
Benfica B1708
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Academica
—Draws
—Benfica B
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
35% conf.
WRONG
Home
35%
@ 2.23
Draw
33%
@ 3.29
Away
32%
@ 2.95
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
@ 1.35
No
25%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
@ 1.58
No
45%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
32%
@ 2.80
Draw
44%
@ 2.16
Away
25%
@ 3.50
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
@ 1.35
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
@ 1.25
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.