How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Shooting Stars, at 48.5%. The other outcomes represent 51.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 48.5% · Draw: 27.5% · Away win: 24%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Shooting Stars 1565; Kano Pillars 1567. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
NPFL · Wednesday, Oct 7 2026
· 15:00
Shooting Stars
Elo 1565
0
-
0
Kano Pillars
Elo 1567
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
-2
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Shooting Stars1565
Kano Pillars1567
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Shooting Stars
0Draws
0Kano Pillars
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
48%
Draw
28%
Away
24%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
37%
Draw
44%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.