How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Universidad de Concepcion, at 44.2%. The other outcomes represent 55.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 44.2% · Draw: 23.5% · Away win: 32.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Universidad de Concepcion 1494; Huachipato 1567. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera División · Friday, Oct 2 2026
· 23:00
Universidad de Concepcion
Elo 1494
vs
Huachipato
Elo 1567
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-73
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Universidad de Concepcion1494
Huachipato1567
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Universidad de Concepcion
0Draws
2Huachipato
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
Home
44%
@ 2.05
Draw
24%
@ 3.43
Away
32%
@ 3.25
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
Yes
61%
@ 1.65
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
@ 1.30
No
25%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
Yes
55%
@ 1.69
No
45%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
34%
@ 2.58
Draw
43%
@ 2.22
Away
23%
@ 3.73
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
@ 1.33
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
Yes
82%
@ 1.24
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
Yes
50%
@ 1.79
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.