How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Salcedo, at 45.3%. The other outcomes represent 54.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.3% · Draw: 27.1% · Away win: 27.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Salcedo 1685; Delfines Del Este 1686. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Mayor · Wednesday, Sep 30 2026
· 20:00
Salcedo
Elo 1685
vs
Delfines Del Este
Elo 1686
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-2
H2H (11)
3H
2D
6A
Elo rating comparison
Salcedo1685
Delfines Del Este1686
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
3Salcedo
2Draws
6Delfines Del Este
11 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
Home
45%
Draw
27%
Away
28%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
Home
33%
Draw
48%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.