How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Deportivo La Coruna, at 37.1%. The other outcomes represent 62.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.1% · Draw: 29.4% · Away win: 33.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Deportivo La Coruna 1935; Sevilla 1923. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
La Liga · Wednesday, Sep 16 2026
· 17:00
Deportivo La Coruna
Elo 1935
0
-
1
Sevilla
Elo 1923
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+12
Elo rating comparison
Deportivo La Coruna1935
Sevilla1923
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Deportivo La Coruna
—Draws
—Sevilla
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
@ 2.46
Draw
29%
@ 3.10
Away
34%
@ 3.01
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Clean Sheet
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Double Chance 1X
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
@ 1.37
No
27%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
@ 1.52
No
45%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
32%
@ 3.07
Draw
45%
@ 2.02
Away
23%
@ 3.62
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
@ 1.47
No
35%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
@ 1.40
No
34%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 3.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Win to Nil
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.