How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is SC Braga, at 69.4%. The other outcomes represent 30.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 69.4% · Draw: 19.6% · Away win: 11%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: SC Braga 2102; Estoril 1744. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primeira Liga · Monday, Sep 14 2026
· 19:45
SC Braga
Elo 2102
1
-
0
Estoril
Elo 1744
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
4D
1L
Elo Advantage
+358
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
SC Braga2102
Estoril1744
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0SC Braga
2Draws
0Estoril
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
69% conf.
CORRECT
Home
69%
@ 1.47
Draw
20%
@ 4.30
Away
11%
@ 6.65
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
@ 1.10
No
11%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Half-Time Result
51% conf.
WRONG
Home
51%
@ 1.95
Draw
36%
@ 2.38
Away
13%
@ 6.06
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
@ 1.31
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
@ 1.21
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
@ 1.71
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Recent results
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Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.