How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bristol City, at 46.8%. The other outcomes represent 53.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 46.8% · Draw: 27.8% · Away win: 25.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bristol City 1765; Lincoln 1879. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Championship · Tuesday, Sep 15 2026
· 18:45
Bristol City
Elo 1765
0
-
1
Lincoln
Elo 1879
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Elo Advantage
-114
Elo rating comparison
Bristol City1765
Lincoln1879
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Bristol City
—Draws
—Lincoln
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
47%
@ 1.97
Draw
28%
@ 3.52
Away
25%
@ 3.57
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
@ 1.69
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
@ 1.26
No
41%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
@ 1.79
No
34%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
28%
@ 2.52
Draw
44%
@ 2.21
Away
28%
@ 4.01
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
@ 1.35
No
35%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
@ 1.25
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
@ 1.82
No
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.