How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Olympiakos Piraeus, at 72.5%. The other outcomes represent 27.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 72.5% · Draw: 15.6% · Away win: 11.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Olympiakos Piraeus 2074; Jagiellonia 2026. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Europa League · Wednesday, Sep 16 2026
· 19:00
Olympiakos Piraeus
Elo 2074
2
-
1
Jagiellonia
Elo 2026
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+48
Elo rating comparison
Olympiakos Piraeus2074
Jagiellonia2026
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Olympiakos Piraeus
—Draws
—Jagiellonia
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
72% conf.
CORRECT
Home
72%
@ 1.36
Draw
16%
@ 4.73
Away
12%
@ 8.09
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.07
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
@ 3.02
No
48%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
43%
@ 1.79
Draw
40%
@ 2.51
Away
17%
@ 7.09
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
@ 1.29
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
@ 1.19
No
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
@ 1.62
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.