How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Rennes, at 45.4%. The other outcomes represent 54.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 27.5% · Draw: 27.1% · Away win: 45.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sturm Graz 2037; Rennes 1941. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
UEFA Europa League · Wednesday, Sep 16 2026
· 19:00
Sturm Graz
Elo 2037
0
-
0
Rennes
Elo 1941
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+96
Elo rating comparison
Sturm Graz2037
Rennes1941
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Sturm Graz
—Draws
—Rennes
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
28%
@ 3.40
Draw
27%
@ 3.64
Away
45%
@ 2.00
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
@ 1.58
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
@ 1.78
No
34%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
@ 1.29
No
41%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
33%
@ 3.73
Draw
42%
@ 2.31
Away
25%
@ 2.52
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
@ 1.31
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
80%
@ 1.20
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
@ 1.66
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.