How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is GOR Mahia, at 43.2%. The other outcomes represent 56.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 30.8% · Draw: 26% · Away win: 43.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Homeboyz 1703; GOR Mahia 1825. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
FKF Premier League · Wednesday, Oct 28 2026
· 11:00
Homeboyz
Elo 1703
0
-
1
GOR Mahia
Elo 1825
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-122
H2H (3)
0H
0D
3A
Elo rating comparison
Homeboyz1703
GOR Mahia1825
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Homeboyz
0Draws
3GOR Mahia
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
31%
Draw
26%
Away
43%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
22%
Draw
44%
Away
33%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.