How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Stoke City, at 38.7%. The other outcomes represent 61.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38.7% · Draw: 26.7% · Away win: 34.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Stoke City 1690; Sheffield Utd 1860. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #670 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Championship · Saturday, Sep 19 2026
· 11:30
Stoke City
Elo 1690
2
-
1
Sheffield Utd
Elo 1860
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
-170
Elo rating comparison
Stoke City1690
Sheffield Utd1860
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Stoke City
—Draws
—Sheffield Utd
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
39%
@ 2.39
Draw
27%
@ 3.31
Away
35%
@ 2.82
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
@ 1.65
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
@ 1.39
No
41%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
71%
@ 1.52
No
29%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
26%
@ 2.96
Draw
42%
@ 2.14
Away
32%
@ 3.39
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
@ 1.37
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
@ 1.26
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Win to Nil
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.